We can draw some lessons from the trajectory of the early web. How will the use of these tools change as they become profit generators instead of loss leaders? Will they become paid-subscription products? Will they run advertisements? Will they power new companies that undercut existing industries at lower costs? What Netflix is to streaming video and Google is to search, OpenAI might become for deep learning. And between the spring 2022 release of DALL-E 2, the current attention on ChatGPT, and the astonished whispers about GPT-4, an even more advanced text-based AI program supposedly arriving next year, OpenAI is well on its way to becoming the company most associated with shocking advances in consumer-facing AI. In the weeks since its release, more than a million users have reportedly given ChatGPT a whirl, with OpenAI footing the bill. Making the first taste free, so to speak, has been a brilliant marketing strategy. You can just imagine a high-octane Clippy powered by ChatGPT. (OpenAI’s backers have agreed to make no more than 100 times what they put into the company-a mere pittance if you expect its products to one day take over the entire global economy.) Microsoft has already poured $1 billion into the company. Although OpenAI launched as a nonprofit in 2015, it jettisoned that status slightly more than three years later, instead setting up a “capped profit” research lab that is overseen by a nonprofit board. The company, which expects to make $200 million in 2023, is not a charity. But OpenAI’s CEO Sam Altman has warned that the gravy train will eventually come to a screeching halt: “ We will have to monetize it somehow at some point the compute costs are eye-watering,” he tweeted. A common refrain: “ It was like magic.”ĬhatGPT is free, for now. Twitter users (in a brief respite from talking about Elon Musk) are sharing delightful examples of genuinely clever writing. Professors are warning that this will be the end of the college essay. It’s not the first AI chatbot, and it certainly won’t be the last, but its intuitive user interface and overall effectiveness leave the collective impression that the future is arriving. That sense of wonderment accelerated last month with the release of OpenAI’s ChatGPT.
Some of it was weird, some was trite, and some was shockingly good.
#Magical meltdown no response for free#
Overnight, people started sharing AI artwork they had generated for free by simply typing a prompt into a text box. It began with the AI image generators DALL-E 2, Midjourney, and Stable Diffusion. After years of seemingly false promises, AI got startlingly good in 2022. The one exception this year has been in the field of generative AI. The expected revolutions-the metaverse, blockchain, self-driving cars-have plodded along, always with promises that the real transformation is just a few years away. Each new tablet and smartphone is only a modest improvement over its predecessor. Clarke once remarked, “Any sufficiently advanced technology is indistinguishable from magic.” That ambient sense of magic has been missing from the past decade of internet history.
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